{"id":1777,"date":"2012-11-08T20:34:46","date_gmt":"2012-11-09T02:34:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.orderofephors.com\/?p=1777"},"modified":"2012-11-08T20:34:46","modified_gmt":"2012-11-09T02:34:46","slug":"have-we-waited-too-long","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.orderofephors.com\/?p=1777","title":{"rendered":"Have We Waited Too Long?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Needless to say, this is not the column that I planned to publish this week.\u00a0 The events of last Tuesday have caused me to change course a bit.\u00a0 The column I had prepared for this date was titled, <em>Mitt Romney \u2013 43<sup>rd<\/sup> President of the United States. <\/em><\/p>\n<p>In that column, I attempted to show that, although Ronald Reagan is generally thought to have been our 40<sup>th<\/sup> president, technically speaking he was actually our 39<sup>th<\/sup> President.\u00a0 George H.W. Bush was our 40<sup>th<\/sup>, Bill Clinton was our 41<sup>st<\/sup>, and George W. Bush was our 42<sup>nd<\/sup>.<\/p>\n<p>The reason for the discrepancy is that, in all of American history, we have had two individuals\u2026 Republican Chester A. Arthur, in 1880, and Democrat Barack Obama, in 2008\u2026 who were elected without meeting the \u201cnatural born Citizen\u201d standard required by Article II, Section 1 of the U.S. Constitution.\u00a0 Therefore, inasmuch as they were(are) usurpers, their terms in office cannot be counted as legitimate presidencies.\u00a0 And since the American people appear to have repeated the great mistake of 2008, that column had to be relegated to the \u201cround file.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Over the past six months I have published several columns in which I have predicted that Mitt Romney would win the 2012 presidential election with somewhere between 295 and 325 electoral votes and that he would win the national popular vote by 69.40 million to Obama\u2019s 59.98 million votes.\u00a0 And when the nation\u2019s two most astute observers of the political scene, Dick Morris and Michael Barone, agreed, I felt quite comfortable with my prediction.<\/p>\n<p>In arriving at my estimated Obama vote, I assumed that 90% of the 2.4 million veterans who switched from the Bush column in 2004 to the Obama column in 2008 would, because of Obama\u2019s anti-military stances, return to vote for Mitt Romney in 2012.\u00a0 That reduced Obama\u2019s total popular vote estimate, using his 2008 vote total as a base, to 63.98 million votes.<\/p>\n<p>Then, looking at the independent vote, with the CNN\/Opinion Research poll showing a 15 point swing away from Obama in 2008 to Romney, Obama\u2019s popular vote total would be reduced by another 2.71 million votes, bringing his 2012 total to 61.26 million.<\/p>\n<p>Finally, with the black pastors across the country urging their congregations not to vote for Obama because of his embrace of partial birth abortion and same-sex marriage, I assumed that he would lose, conservatively, approximately 5% of the black vote, or 1.28 million votes.\u00a0 That would bring his popular vote total to 59.98 million votes.\u00a0 Reports from across the country tell us that he received 59.90 million votes on Tuesday.\u00a0 So my estimate of the Obama popular vote was off by 0.13%, or just over one-tenth of one percent.<\/p>\n<p>However, on the Republican side of the ledger, I estimated that Mitt Romney would pick up 90% of the 3.7 million Republicans who voted for Obama in 2008, plus 90% of the 2.4 million veterans who had finally concluded that Obama was anti-military.\u00a0 Using John McCain\u2019s 2008 total as a baseline, that would bring Romney\u2019s popular vote total to 65.42 million votes.\u00a0 Add to that the 4.22 million independent votes that were expected to move from Obama to Romney, and assuming that the 1.28 million black voters who would abandon Obama would just stay home and not vote for Romney, that brought Romney\u2019s estimated total to 69.64 million votes.<\/p>\n<p>All of these estimates and assumptions are, I think, quite reasonable and conservative.\u00a0 However, when we look at the total popular vote for last Tuesday, we are told that Romney achieved a popular vote of only 57.20 million votes\u2026 12.44 million votes less than my estimate and 2.73 million votes less than John McCain received in 2008.<\/p>\n<p>The Romney figures fly in the face of reason, to put it mildly.\u00a0 How could any astute observer of the political scene underestimate the Republican turnout by nearly 18% unless someone has seriously \u201ccooked the books?\u201d\u00a0 How could the most lackluster candidate the party could possibly have chosen in 2008, running against a self-proclaimed messianic rock-star, outpoll a man in 2012 who came very close to being the ideal candidate.\u00a0 Where are the 3.33 million Republicans who voted for Obama in 2008?\u00a0 Where are the 2.4 million veterans?\u00a0 Where are the 4.22 million independents?\u00a0 And where are all the millions of Roman Catholics who have been told by their bishops that they would be endangering their immortal souls by voting for Obama?<\/p>\n<p>Was it evangelicals\u2026 the numbskulls who support Missouri Senate candidate Todd Akin\u2019s concept of \u201clegitimate rape,\u201d who agree with Indiana Senate candidate Richard Mourdock\u2019s view that a pregnancy resulting from a forcible rape is \u201cGod\u2019s will,\u201d and who consider Mormonism to be a cult religion\u2026 who stayed home rather than vote for Romney?\u00a0 Given the long lines at polling places across the country, and given that conservatives and Republicans were far more energized in this election year than they have been in any presidential election in the past century, that is highly unlikely.\u00a0 The numbers just don\u2019t add up and I do not believe them.<\/p>\n<p>What is so sad about all this is that this election was without doubt the most important election in American history because the country had arrived at a tipping point from which it had only a very slim chance of recovery.\u00a0 Now we are \u201cin the soup\u201d and the Republican leaders of the House and Senate are going to have to develop spines of steel because the very future of the republic rests on their shoulders.<\/p>\n<p>What we must try to make some sense of is how the people could reelect a man who had zero qualifications for the presidency when he arrived on the scene, who had less knowledge of economic principles than any 12-year-old running a sidewalk lemonade stand, and who had proven himself to be far more incompetent than even Jimmy Carter.<\/p>\n<p>Obama has shown that he does have certain abilities.\u00a0 He has a talent for stirring class envy among those who see themselves as have-nots.\u00a0 He has a talent for tapping into racial sensitivities, making blacks and Hispanics feel as though they are put-upon or oppressed by white males.\u00a0 And he has a talent for making the blue collar worker feel as though he\u2019s not getting his fair share of the national economic pie.\u00a0 In other words, the \u201cmillionaires and the billionaires,\u201d the lobbyists and the \u201cspecial interests,\u201d and those who \u201cfly around in corporate jets,\u201d are enjoying their extravagant lifestyles because of the sacrifices of the working class.<\/p>\n<p>It all points to one major weakness that has been growing in our country for generations.\u00a0 What the Obama political success tells us is that there is not a single problem we have that cannot be traced back to the poor quality of public education.\u00a0 The American people are just too ignorant of basic economics to understand how our free market economy works.\u00a0 Yet now we are being told that, if Republicans are to recover from this debacle, they must learn how to \u201creach out\u201d to blacks, women, the young, and Hispanics.\u00a0 What they are saying is that Republicans must learn how to buy the allegiance of those groups by offering them more \u201cgoodies\u201d than the Democrats offer.\u00a0 That is simply not going to happen.<\/p>\n<p>What is far more likely to happen is that Obama and congressional Democrats will drive our economy so far over the cliff that most Americans, of all social and economic classes, begin to feel some real pain.\u00a0 If congressional Republicans can finally learn to play the PR game, and if they can get smart enough and tough enough to play their cards well while Obama occupies the Oval Office, they can literally destroy the Democratic Party.\u00a0 All of the elements are there.<\/p>\n<p>But it\u2019s not just congressional Republicans who will have to show some steel.\u00a0 The business community, big and small, must do their part to tame the mainstream media.\u00a0 Is it possible to have a free country without a free press?\u00a0 No.\u00a0 Do we have a free press?\u00a0 No.\u00a0 The media rely on advertising dollars for their very existence.\u00a0 It\u2019s time that business advertisers let the major media outlets\u2026 TV, radio, and print media\u2026 know which side their bread is buttered on.\u00a0 It\u2019s time that the business community tied advertising dollars to media fairness.<\/p>\n<p>For example, Barack Obama showed up in New Jersey for a few hours to look at storm damage, for which great praise was heaped upon him by mainstream media reporters.\u00a0 But what if the reporters had asked, \u201cMr. President, you have said that the minute you learned that our people in Benghazi were under attack, you gave the order to \u2018secure our people.\u2019\u00a0 If you gave that order, Mr. President, why did Secretary Panetta and General Dempsey disobey that order?\u00a0 And if they did disobey a direct order from you, why are they still in their jobs?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>It is clear that someone\u2026 either Barack Obama or Leon Panetta\u2026 is not telling the truth.\u00a0 Had that question been asked four or five days before the election there is a very good chance that Mitt Romney would be getting fitted for a new swallowtail coat and a top hat today.<\/p>\n<p>Yes, it is the economic ignorance of our people that has destroyed us\u2026 the feeling among nearly half the U.S. population that there is such a thing as a \u201cfree lunch\u201d that no one has to pay for because it comes from the federal or state government.\u00a0 If we were to start today to teach our children basic free market economic theory; if we started today to teach our children the basics of American history and government; and if we started today to require that the black history courses in our schools actually teach black history, instead of politically correct black fables, it would take at least three generations to correct the damage that has already been done.<\/p>\n<p>My fear is that we have waited too long.\u00a0 We have run past the tipping point.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Needless to say, this is not the column that I planned to publish this week.\u00a0 The events of last Tuesday have caused me to change course a bit.\u00a0 The column I had prepared for this date was titled, Mitt Romney &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.orderofephors.com\/?p=1777\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[4],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.orderofephors.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1777"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.orderofephors.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.orderofephors.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.orderofephors.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.orderofephors.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1777"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.orderofephors.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1777\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1778,"href":"https:\/\/www.orderofephors.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1777\/revisions\/1778"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.orderofephors.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1777"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.orderofephors.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1777"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.orderofephors.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1777"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}